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The Analyst Magazine:
Sun Microsystems: A new Dawn?
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With its new software strategy, the tech giant promises not just to stay afloat but change the entire software landscape.Sun Microsystems, Inc., well-known for its Java software, announced on September 29, this year, that it expected a larger loss in the current first quarter than market had expected.

Sun Microsystems, Inc., well-known for its Java software, announced on September 29, this year, that it expected a larger loss in the current first quarter than market had expected. The company warned that it would have to record a $1 bn tax charge and revise its previously reported fourth quarter results to show a loss. It further added that it would take the $1.05 bn charge in the fourth quarter of the fiscal 2003 to write down the value of tax credits carried on in its balance sheet, because of its slower return to profitability. In fact, there is nothing new about this gloomy outlook, as the company continues to disappoint stock markets with its poor performances for the successive quarters over the last two years, except the fact that it is worst than what Wall Street analysts had expected.

The recent announcement, in a way, just vindicates the trouble the once high-flying technology behemoth has been in after the burst of the dotcom bubble in 2000. Sun's EPS (Earnings Per Share) has been in the red for seven out of the last nine consecutive quarters; on the other two occasions, the EPS were $0.02 (4QFY'02), and $0.00 (3QFY'03). Disappointed over the company's continuous failure to re-establish itself in the technology big league, the markets have hammered down the company's stock price to below $4 from its all-time high of $64 in 2000, a loss of about 95%. Does all this signal the end of the road for a company that always dreamt of dethroning its archrival Microsoft?

It doesn't look so, at least for the moment. Just about a fortnight ago before it issued the profit warning, the company revealed a new software-pricing strategy that promises to revolutionize as well as redefine the business model of the software industry as a whole. Simply put, Sun wants to do to software industry what Dell did to hardware industry commoditize it. The company's objective is twofoldcut costs and simplify software applications. While that looks a little overambitious, or at least what its rivals believe, industry experts forecast that the industry could gain significantly even if Sun fails in its resurrection bid.

 
 

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