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The IUP Journal of Applied Economics :
Input-Specific Risk in HYV and Traditional Paddy Cultivation: An Analysis of Agricultural Practices in Assam
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The literature on the adoption of modern agriculture technology reveals that several subjective and objective factors are responsible for the incomplete adoption of High Yielding Varieties (HYV) paddy seeds cultivation. Among many socioeconomic factors acting on the incomplete adoption of HYV, the farmers' perception of higher risk associated with HYV paddy cultivation has been considered to be an important factor. This paper examines the relative riskiness of HYV and traditional paddy cultivation based on farm household level data in Assam. An econometric estimation approach is adopted for this purpose. A generalized stochastic production function approach and the three-stage estimation procedure suggested by Just and Pope (1979) are used on the sample data. The estimation is done to examine the marginal effect of essential and less essential inputs on the average yield and the variance of yield in traditional and HYV paddy cultivation. Seeds, labor, and capital are the essential inputs. Chemical fertilizers, plant protection chemicals and irrigation from borewells and pumpsets are treated as less essential inputs.

 
 
 

Literature (e.g., O'Mara, 1980; Shapiro et al., 1992; Sasmal, 1993; Saha, 2001; and Kim and Chavas, 2003) reveals that several subjective and objective factors are responsible for the incomplete adoption of High Yielding Varieties (HYV) paddy seeds cultivation. Both HYV and traditional paddy seed varieties have respective merits and demerits (Table 1). Adoption of a particular variety depends on farmers' perception of those characteristics. Some of the advantages of HYV seeds are shorter maturity duration, higher yield, higher profit, all season cultivability, etc., compared to traditional seeds. Goyari (2007) observed that a majority of the sample farmers were found adopting the new paddy seeds because of the above-mentioned advantages of the new seeds. However, besides these advantages there are also some disadvantages associated with HYV adoption. For instance, HYV seeds have been found to exhibit higher fluctuations in yields and profits across plots and farm households than traditional seeds. So, a rational farmer may like to allocate his available land between the two technologies (between new and local varieties) to avoid or to reduce risk, rather than completely switching to the former. This argument, as pointed out by Saha (2001), is based on two assumptions: one, farmers are risk averse, and two, the HYV cultivation involves greater risk compared to traditional paddy cultivation. That the farmers associate higher risk with HYV paddy cultivation has been considered an important factor (among many socioeconomic factors) for the incomplete adoption of HYV seeds (Feder et al., 1985). The perception of greater risk being involved in the cultivation of HYV paddy seeds compared to the traditional varieties may be due to several factors. Table 1 presents some of these factors.

There are difficulties in the measurement of risk involved in the adoption of HYV seeds. Researchers have used different techniques to measure the extent of risk associated with the new crop technology adoption (Table 2). Econometrically, one way of measuring the risk is through examining the marginal effects of inputs on the variance of output or yield of the specific crop variety. The present study is an attempt in that direction. It is often found that higher variability/uncertainty in HYV yield levels can be due to greater use of yield enhancing inputs such as chemical fertilizers, plant protection chemicals, controlled irrigation and other purchased inputs, and strong complementarity among these inputs. HYV seeds are more responsive to yield-enhancing purchased inputs such as chemical fertilizers, controlled irrigation, etc. By using more of such inputs, productivity per hectare of land can be increased. Ultimately, HYV yields fluctuate more across plots, across households and over time. These purchased inputs are believed to have positive marginal risk effect on yield (Just and Pope, 1979; and Mehra, 1981). Due to such factors, the HYV paddy cultivation may be riskier than that of traditional seed. Contrary to this, traditional varieties are less responsive to the above-mentioned purchased inputs and hence are of less fluctuating nature. Thus, traditional seeds are considered by farmers less risky. Thus, the relative riskiness of two seed technologies can be examined by estimating marginal input risks on the mean of yield and on the variance of yield.

 
 
 

HYV and Traditional Paddy Cultivation, Agricultural Practices, High Yielding Varieties, Multiplicative error, Socioeconomic factors, Non-Linear Least Squares, NLSQ, Coefficient of Variation, CV, Agricultural Innovations, Economic Development, Adoption of Modern Agricultural Technology, Risk Management.