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The IUP Journal of Applied Finance
Value Investing with Price-Earnings Ratio in India
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Researchers and investment professionals have argued that ‘value strategies’ based on low price relative to earnings, dividends, book value and other fundamental measures, have outperformed the corresponding ‘growth strategies’ and the market. In this study, we endeavor to explore this premise in the Indian context by forming equity portfolios based on price-earnings ratios and evaluate their ex post returns on both absolute and risk-adjusted measures. During the study period, i.e., October 2000 to September 2013, we sample the market each quarter, a total of 48 iterations, and examine the portfolio returns for holding periods up to five years. We find evidence of statistically significant value premium in the Indian stock market.

 
 
 

At its core, ‘value investing’ is about investing in securities where the per-share ‘intrinsic value1’ of the firm is greater than the ‘price’ paid for acquiring it. Even as the price of a security can be precisely quantified at any instant from the exchange ticker, determining the ‘intrinsic value’ of a firm at best delivers an imprecise valuation. Among many other dimensions, the firm’s current asset valuation, broadly represented by ‘book value’, and potential to earn profits in future, estimated with past ‘earnings’, are the two most fundamental dimensions on which its ‘intrinsic value’ is estimated. Therefore the ‘Price-Book’ (P/B) ratio and the ‘Price- Earnings’ (P/E) ratio, which roughly represent these dimensions, are the two most popular measures for a firm’s current valuation.

For more than half a century now, researchers have investigated the effectiveness of ‘value strategies2’ of varying complexity and sophistication, and found evidence of existence of ‘value premium3’ based on backtesting of listed securities data. While earlier studies focused on securities listed in US and other developed countries, there are fewer studies investigating the existence of ‘value premium’ in India.

 
 
 

Applied Finance Journal, Value Investing, Price-Earnings Ratio, Indian stock market, Price-Book, Price- Earnings, India.