The talks of a move by the Government of India to initiate the process of exiting the economic stimulus package from the
financial year 2010 have not gone down well with India Inc. as well as most
economists, as they feel that it would derail the recovery process which is still
nascent. Many argue that since the robust recovery was due to the low
base effect and that growth being still fragile, the Indian industry will need
the support of stimulus till September 2010. But on its part, concerned by
the growing food prices, which has reached 20% in recent months, the
government is hard-pressed to find an early solution to tame the inflation monster.
It is here that policy makers feel that proper monetary tightening
measures may achieve the desired. However, industry experts argue that food
inflation is led by supply-side constraints and thus monetary tightening at
this hour will not solve the issue, and rather it would hamper the
growth. According to Venu Srinivasan, President, Confederation of Indian
Industry (CII), "The government could consider withdrawal at the time of
introduction of the proposed goods and services tax," as the economy is still
under the grip of low base effect. At the pre-budget meeting, it was advised
to exempt profits from exports from tax to bring back exports on the
growth track. Corporate captains also requested the government to delay
the implementation of the new Direct Tax Code (DTC), under which it is
proposed to levy Minimum Alternate Tax (MAT) on gross asset base.
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