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Abstract
With the economy in the doldrums, soaring unemployment
and ballooning deficit, immense pressure has been put on the greenback.
Its position as a reserve currency is on trembling ground, as most
central banks are looking for alternatives.
Description
Of late business media has been
publishing headlines like "the
dollar is being abandoned", "oil could be priced in other currencies
besides the greenback", and "central banks are
diversifying reserves away from the world's reserve currency". Do these sound
familiar? Are the reports on the dollar demise premature? However, when some of
the world's famous investors like Warren Buffett warn of dollar's decline,
investors take note. He warned that the US debt load threatened to turn America into
a `banana republic economy'. A flood of greenbacks from the Federal Reserve
and the Obama government may be necessary to prop up the ailing economy. He
suggests that the US government must control its unprecedented levels of debt in
the future or risk the consequences.
Most currency market analysts say death cometh for the greenback and it is
in for more trouble. Chinese central bank, the largest foreign holder of US debt ($2
tn), foretold that greenback is likely to lose its status as the world's reserve
currency. Even the International Monetary Fund (IMF) is alarmed by the mighty
currency fall. Willem Buiter, a former Bank of England policy maker, has warned
"Americans must prepare themselves for a massive collapse in the dollar as
investors around the world dump their US assets."
Keywords
The Analyst Magazine, International Monetary Fund, IMF, Global
Currency Market, Global Financial System, Financial Markets, World Economy, US Policy Makers, Gross Domestic Product, GDP, Emerging Economies, Government Debt, Budget Deficits.