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The Analyst Magazine:
SDRs : The Yin and Yang of China's Demand
 
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Zhou Xiaochuan, China's Central Bank Governor, caused quite a stir in the western countries when he said: time has come for the SDR to replace the dollar as the `super-sovereign reserve currency' of the world. And this time round, the US cannot afford to shrug it off as a periodic call numbering the days of dollar as the world's dominant currency.


For, today, America is not what it was when Keynes suggested, in 1944 at Bretton Woods, the creation of a global reserve currency, `bancour', so as to insure it from the vicissitudes of any single economy to casually wave it off. America was then a current account surplus country, while it is today a current account deficit country, that too, weighed down by far bigger fiscal deficits. Secondly, dollar was then pegged to gold, which means, unlike now, it could not print currency freely. It is precisely for this reason that the US—when its economy came under great strain during the Vietnam War—was to give up dollar's gold standard in 1971.

That aside, in the light of today's significant world macroeconomic imbalances, a need has certainly arisen for rich countries as well as the countries with huge forex reserves to take a serious re-look at the international monetary system, if the recovery from the current economic meltdown has to be sustained. Countries like the US that are running current account deficits are saddled with far bigger fiscal deficits than those countries with current account surpluses, and this is all set to grow further, as the US implements its fiscal stimulus to revive its economy by freely printing currency, simply because the current account surplus countries such as China are bound to import a greater chunk of that stimulus introduced by the US.

 
 

 

The Analyst Magazine, Zhou Xiaochuan, Global Reserve Currency, Fiscal Deficits, International Monetary System, Gross Domestic Product, GDP, Economic Development, Policy Makers, International Monetary Fund, IMF, Global Intervention Currency, Foreign Exchange Reserves, Global Economic Growth.