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The Analyst Magazine:
Passenger Carmakers : On a Bumpy Ride
 
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Amit Singh Sisodiya and Sudesh Gonela

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If the current fiscal's first 10-month sales are any indication, passenger carmakers in India are staring at one of the worst slumps in many years.


 

On February 2nd, Tata Motors, India's largest automobile maker and third largest car manufacturer, revealed that it sold 9% less car units than the 20,119 units it sold in the corresponding period of the previous year. Sales of Indica, its flagship car model, stood at 11,433 units, 7.5% less than its January 2008 figures. "Faint signals of the impact of the financial stimulus announced by the government, particularly for commercial vehicles, is being noticed. However the automobile market continues to be under the grip of a credit squeeze and high interest rates", the company said in a statement. Hyundai Motor India, India's second largest carmaker, too reported a decline in sales, albeit in double digits at 21,015 cars, while premium carmaker, Honda Siel Cars registered a plummeting 26% fall in January sales at 5,773 vehicles. In fact, on the whole, except the market leader, Maruti Suzuki, which notched a sales growth of 8.6% to 59,060 cars, the industrywide car sales fell 3.2% year-on-year to 1.10 lakh cars in January, this year. January sales figures only extend the poor run of the domestic carmakers, who struggled with sloppy sales during the first nine months ending December 2008.

Indeed, the slide began much earlier than many thought. According to the data by the Society of Indian Automobile Manufacturers (SIAM), beginning July 2008, sales have fallen for five of the last six months, with the exception of September when manufacturers pushed stock to dealers in anticipation of a spurt in demand during the festive month of October. In fact, as per the SIAM statistics, the sales in the passenger vehicles segment registered de-growth with (-) 0.46 growth during April-December 2008 over April-December 2007, while sales of passenger cars fell 0.28% during the said period. And the fall continues. Car sales in the domestic market head south, despite the two stimulus package announced by the government in recent times. Besides, even the series of measures initiated by the manufacturers, such as discounts, lower interest rates, and freebies, have so far failed to lift the sentiments of prospective buyers who are concerned by sluggish economic growth and a weak job market scenario. Tighter credit market too has played the spoilsport as banks have been reluctant to lend or are asking higher margin money, thus discouraging the potential buyers.

 
 

 

The Analyst Magazine, Passenger Carmakers, Automobile Market, Tata Motors, Society of Indian Automobile Manufacturers, SIAM, Credit Markets, Global Financial Crisis, Global Liquidity Crunch, Compounded Annual Growth Rate, CAGR, IT/ITES Industry, Federation of Automobile Dealers' Association, FADA, National Council of Applied Economic Research, NCAER, Indian Global Automobile Strategy, Global Crisis, Automotive Component Manufacturers Association of India, ACMA.