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The IUP Journal of Applied Finance : |
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Description |
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When stock returns show certain empirical regulations, which are difficult to explain from
asset-pricing theories, they are called stock market anomalies. Among different stock
market anomalies, two are very widely documented—the day-of-the-week effect and the
positive first-order autocorrelation. In an efficient market the stock prices must be
independent of the day, week, month and other calender dummies. But, studies have
found, inter alia, that average stock returns significantly vary across the weekdays.
Abnormally high positive average return is observed for last trading day of the week
(which is usually a Friday); and the first day of the week (i.e., Monday) shows a
significantly low or a negative average return. Similarly, the Efficient Market
Hypothesis (EMH) postulates that the stock prices show a random walk behavior and past
prices cannot be used to predict future prices. In contrary to this postulation some studies
have found that daily stock return show a significant positive first-order autocorrelation
and thus, tomorrows expected returns are not independent of today’s realized returns.
However, the more striking observation is that the autocorrelation effect and the day-ofthe-
week effect interact with each other. The highest and statistically significant positive
first-order autocorrelation is observed between Friday returns and Monday returns i.e.,
positive Friday returns tend to be followed by positive Monday returns and negative Friday
returns tend to be followed by negative Monday returns.
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Keywords |
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Applied Finance Journal, Stock Market Index, Stock Market Anomalies, Efficient Market
Hypothesis, Asset-Pricing Theories, Indian Stock Market, Emerging
Markets, Financial Markets, Derivative Products, Regression Models, Autoregression Model, Indian Equity Market.
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