The
Indian Equity market has come a long way since 1979 when
the Sensex base was just 100. After crossing the 10,000
and the 11,000 barriers, the Sensex reached one more milestone
on March 29, in the initial trading hours on BSE (Bombay
Stock Exchange), when it surpassed the admired DOW Jones
Industrial Average. It overtook the DOW Jones Industrial
Average in a similar fashion in the year 1995 when the index
was at the 3,800 plus levels. The two indices are apparently
not comparable, but it gives a confidence of breaching a
psychological barrier. Also, comparing the Sensex with the
world's renowned market indicator is in itself a momentous
achievement. This shows that the Indian equity market is
still buoyant and aggressive. There are various reasons
for the Indian capital market to be optimistic. Building
on quality infrastructure, accelerating rural development,
increased retail spending and talented manpower are some
of the factors that boost investments in the equities. Obviously,
the major market force in the current bull run is on the
back of huge Foreign Institutional Investors (FIIs) investment
inflows.
The
last three years of bull run saw a rising inflow of investments
from the FIIs to the Indian equities (Refer to Table 1 for
Trends in FIIs Investments). In the last one year, the FII
investment in the Indian equities increased by almost 30%.
In the last financial year also, excluding a few months,
FIIs were the net buyers (Refer to Table 2). In the first
three months of the current calendar year (2006), they pumped
in Rs. 17954 cr. Market has also moved in line with the
flow of FII money. The number of registered FIIs is also
showing an increasing trend (Refer to Table 3). In the financial
year 2005-06, the number of registered FIIs increased from
686 to 882. This huge increase in the number of FIIs shows
their huge interest in investing in the Indian capital market.
The FIIs are investing in large-cap as well as mid-cap stocks
irrespective of the sector; growth is the only inclination
for their investments. The market has been rising for the
last three years. But the most important question that still
remains unanswered is how long this rally will sustain and
how long FIIs will keep pumping the money in the Indian
stock market. |