For
more than half a century, the US dollar has enjoyed a unique
privilege in the global economy. The US dollar has been the
world's dominant currency in most transactions and the repository
for the national savings of many countries. However, the once-unchallenged
world hegemony of the dollar is under threat as its decline
has impelled many emerging economies to diversify their holdings
beyond dollar. An endlessly weakening greenback has global
repercussions. The decline in dollar value has contributed
to a surge in the cost of raw materials which are priced in
the US currency; from oil to corn and copper prices have touched
historic highs. With the world's dominant economy's debt
spiraling higher, the trade deficit exceeding $700 bn a year,
and its currency plunging for years, the US government in
an anxious bid to attract investment, has been forced to cut
spending and cut interest rates at regular intervals to 2%.
However, economists have urged the Federal Reserve to stop
the rate cuts, arguing that rate cuts are doing little to
reduce borrowing costs but have sent commodity prices soaring,
fueling inflation and hitting Americans' wallets hard.
With
the dollar's 45% drop in value against the euro in the past
six years, there is a growing debate on the future of the
greenback's reign as the global reserve currency, a position
it has held since 1945. While most economists have predicted
the role of dollar as a reserve currency is nearing its end,
others have even said that euro will supplant the dollar.
Given the dollar's role as a medium of exchange and store
of wealth, the dollar's premier status as the mainstay of
global financial transactions is under threat.
The negative
implications of the declining dollar's value are obvious in
the rising prices of all primary products, the consequent
strengthening of inflation pressure globally, the confusion
in the settlement of international transactions, etc. For
instance, Chinese textile exports have begun to shift to euro-currency
markets and British pounds to avoid foreign exchange losses.
Likewise, Russia, the world's second-largest oil-exporting
nation after Saudi Arabia, has begun modest efforts to trade
Russian Ural Blend oil, the country's primary export, in rouble.
Besides, the dollar's weakness has been bad news for consumers. |