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The IUP Journal of Computational Mathematics :
An Integrated Fuzzy Approach to Assess Water Resources' Potential in a Watershed
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Water is a critical natural resource for not only human development and the sustainability of the ecosystem, but also the economic growth of a nation. The importance of water is felt even more in the desert state of Rajasthan due to meager rainfall, adverse climatological conditions, and reduced per capita water availability, with increasing population. This paper aims to develop an integrated fuzzy assessment model which would evaluate the status of water resources development in a watershed by analyzing different factors important for river basin planning and management. Further, a case study of a watershed, which comes under the Banas river basin in the Chittorgarh district of Rajasthan, has been undertaken for the evaluation of the status of water resources development in different sub-regions (tehsils) of the district. The above model will clearly demonstrate the status of water carrying capacity of sub-regions (tehsils) of the Chittorgarh district of Rajasthan for assessing potential water resource development. The study concludes with an immediate need to develop a system to preserve, conserve and utilize water in an efficient manner through recycling, and by generating high social consciousness among the people, and utilizing technological advancements with active coordination and involvement of water managers and water users alike in the Chittorgarh district.

In fact, the importance of water is high in the desert state of Rajasthan, due to meager rainfall, adverse climatological conditions, and reduced per capita water availability, with increasing population. The Aravalli mountain range divides the state into eastern and western Rajasthan. The area west of Aravalli forms a part of the `Great Thar Desert' with an average rainfall of around 320 mm. Towards the east of the Aravalli range the climate is comparatively humid, with rainfall ranging between 400 to 1000 mm, at an average of around 690 mm. The average rainfall for the whole state is about 570 mm. It has been noted that the Chittorgarh district has a normal rainfall of about 772 mm, but between the years 1986 to 2003, it recorded less than normal rainfall, ranging between 410 mm (2002) to 762 mm (1999). Rainfall has been, however, consistently lower than normal since 1997, except during the year 2004. Apparently, the district has faced more droughts in these years and more frequently. The heavy environmental degradation due to destruction of the forests and deterioration of natural drainage pattern in the local region, have perhaps, restricted the amount of rainfall required for filling-up the depleted surface and subsurface reservoirs.

 
 
 

natural resource, development, sustainability, ecosystem, economic growth, climatological conditions, management, technological, environmental degradation, deterioration, destruction, per capita