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 The Analyst Magazine:
China : Dragging the Dragon
 
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China has been touted, for the past few years, as the future engine of economic growth. Almost every economic forecast sees China as the global economic superpower of the future. However, there are reasons to believe that China's immense promise will not be fulfilled.

 
 

The reason is simple—China's government. The Chinese government and the Communist party have no intention of giving up power. This is hardly surprising. Which political party would voluntarily give up power? But political power is only a part of the problem. The real problem is that the Communist party does not want to give up economic power. China is still not a market economy. As long as the Communist party remains in power, it will never be one, and that is why it will not fulfill its promise.

Let us start with something simple: information. The lack of protected speech has not been seen as a major impediment to economic growth, but it is a major issue. Markets are about choice. To make a good choice, whether it is a car or an investment, one requires good information. In China, information is restricted and tightly controlled. The government believes that it understands the difference between important and dangerous information and that it always has access to both. It doesn't.

Information has enormous value. It is not provided except for consideration or because there is an enforced legal requirement of disclosure. In societies with protected speech and free press, it is often difficult to cover up fraud, corruption, misdeeds, and even mistakes, because there is a market for their disclosure. In China and other restrictive societies, the flow of information is severely regulated, if not totally curbed. As a result, everyone from investors to consumers and even bureaucrats do not have timely, accurate, and complete information. The result is that investors make inefficient allocations of capital. Consumers buy poor, sometimes even poisonous, products and government officials make and execute ill-informed decisions. Over time, the result of this information control can be disastrous.

 
 

The Analyst Magazine, China, Market Economy, Banking System, Economic Growth, Chinese Government, Financial Systems, Economic Development, Chinese Banking System, Intellectual Properties, Foreign Companies.

 
 
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