Let us be candid about investing.
Even the keenest of the market
observers do not exactly know what is going to happen in the
stock market next week, next month, or next year. However, it is hoped that in
the long run (say, 20 years or more), global economic growth would create
expansion of corporate earnings, and that would in turn create stock
market wealth. So, it is often safe to take an unimpassioned approach to market
behavior and not try to outguess the market by picking up some
individual stocks/sectors which are indeed erratic in nature. Instead, it is often
recommended by many experts to sit passively, sleep well, and rely on the
possible upswing in the broader market index. These passively managed
index funds are relatively safer than the actively managed funds which keep a
constant vigil on the movement of the stocks and vehemently try to beat
the market. And in many cases, these professionally managed funds end up
with lower returns than that of the broader index. According to the newly
introduced S&P Crisil Indices versus Active Fund (SPIVA) scorecard for the
Indian mutual fund industry, 70% of large cap funds in India underperformed the
S&P CNX Nifty Index. Further, 40% of the funds in the diversified equity
category underperformed the S&P CNX 500 Index over a five-year period ended
December 2009. Indeed, in the world of investing, a greater intelligence does
not necessarily lead to a better investing performance. So it makes sense to
remain idle and invest in passively managed index funds.
Index funds, which are quite popular in the developed world, merely
invest in the securities in the broader index. It is passive, in the sense that
absolutely no attempt is made to outperform the prime market index. It
involves tracking an index, say, for example, the 30-share Sensex or the
50-share Nifty and building a portfolio with the same stocks in the
same weights as the index. These funds completely rely on computer model
with minimal human intelligence in the decision making as to which stocks to
be bought or sold, and are therefore considered as `passively
managed'.
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