Well before the global financial
crisis, Asia had already
emerged as a much more dynamic engine of global growth.
According to the IMF, the combined growth rates (14.5% in 2005) of China and
India, Asia's two leading dynamos, was more than four times that of
Europe (3.5%) and 2.4 times that of the US (6.1%). These dynamic growth rates
are not only limited to output. The IMF also estimates that over the last
three years, productivity growth in China averaged close to 9% while that of
emerging Asia averaged nearly 5%, much more than the 2% increase registered
in the developed world. Collectively, China and India already account
for 21% of global output, according to IMF's measure of purchasing power parity,
essentially equal to the percentage attributed to the US (20%).
The global financial crisis, hitting the West much more than Asia,
only serves to accentuate this ongoing shift of economic gravitas from the West
to the East. |