The behavior of a time series data may be disintegrated into three main parts: long-,
medium- and short-run behavior. These three parts are respectively associated with slowly evolving
secular movements (the trend), a faster oscillating part (the business cycles) and a rapidly varying,
often irregular, component (the seasonality) (Iacobucci, 2003). Generally, the properties of time
series are enquired in time domain by analyzing the projections of interesting functions of time
onto the phase space (Sella, 2008). The economic time series data, which refer to important
indicators like exchange rate, sales, prices, export, etc., are characterized by trend. This trend is
further used to produce forecasts for the series. At the same time, the general trend is important
in measuring the accuracy of the estimated parameters (Manole, 2007). Most of the time
series analysis is done in the time domain, but frequency domain analysis can also be used as
a complementary tool. The information obtained by the time domain could be
effectively supplemented by a frequency domain approach, i.e., spectral analysis. The main
oscillatory components of the time series are described quantitatively by spectral decomposition; thus, it
is possible to formally identify trends, low-frequency components, business cycles,
seasonalities, etc. (Sella, 2008).
Taking cue from concepts of mathematics and physics, financial and economic time
series can also be analyzed in the frequency domain to determine trends and seasonalities. This
paper has tried to show how well frequency domain analysis can be used to analyze time series
of varying nature. It demonstrates the complementary nature of frequency domain analysis
with reference to economic and financial data. Spectral analysis is a tool used in the
frequency domain to determine seasonality in the time series. Cross-spectral analysis is basically used
to find the direction and magnitude of comovements between two time series. A brief
explanation of the same is provided in the next section. |