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Treasury Management Magazine:
Commodity Derivatives and Inflation
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The recent vast increase in commodity derivatives, and the resulting commodity boom, is a largely rational response to the vast increase in inflation. The article briefly addresses the issue.

 
 
 

The year 2007 has been a very good one for India. Sensex has reached new heights and corporate India has gone global in its quest for expansion. Of course, inflation is a matter of concern for the Indian economy at the moment. Except this, there are no serious worries. The US subprime crisis has not affected India; rather, some opine that it will undoubtedly provide India an opportunity to grow further. Although it is a matter of great psychological satisfaction that Indian corporates have started acquiring American and European companies, they need to be very careful as mergers and acquisitions are not always a success story.

India as an economy has come a long way when we compare it with the scenario prevailing before the opening up of the economy. In fact, today `Brand India' is being well recognized throughout the world. In 1991, economic conditions in India were not very optimistic. It was stagnant at 3-4% GDP growth, inflation was as high as 16%, unemployment problem was taking its toll on the economy, there was nothing in the name of forex reserves, interest rates were very high and hence unfavorable for industrial growth, and foreign investment was not coming as desired.

All these factors compelled our then government to open up the economy by way of economic reforms, popularly known as the Liberalization, Privatization and Globalization (LPG) process. The results of the reforms are clearly visible now in the sense that our GDP growth is touching 10% and what is more important is that this growth is sustainable in future. Inflation, which has always been a big matter of concern for our policy-makers, is now around 7%. Thanks to the keen interest of FDIs and FIIs, our concern is how to ensure optimum utilization of foreign fund inflows rather than how to attract them. The rupee is appreciating everyday against the dollar depicting the strength of the growing Indian economy.

 
 
 

Treasury Management Magazine, Commodity Derivatives, Indian Economy, Mergers and Acquisitions, M&A, Gross Domestic Producats,GDP, Liberalization, Privatization, Globalization, LPG, Foreign Direct Investments, FDIs, Foreign Institutional Investors, FIIs, global markets, Global Economic Crisis.