The uncertain times we are
fac-
ing today may be analogous to
the state of permanent white water – as stated by Peter Vaill
(1996) – marked by "five intertwining characteristics of what I have been
calling permanent white water that taken together capture the feel of
permanent white water conditions" (p. 10).
The state of permanent white water or an environment of
continuous turbulent change described by Vaill may offer some valuable insights
regarding turbulent times that many of the organizations (and people of the
organizations) have experienced and these types of problems may not
be new to many organizational leaders. One must posit the question of
how one successfully conducts business while constantly facing situations
that are highly uncertain. It should be noted that conditions regarding
permanent white water appear to blindside the organizational
leaders. However, there is still some resemblance of organizational control
even in the situations Vaill describes above. The current economic
times may require different and proactive responses since many of the
caveats associated with the new troubled times appear to be outside of the
control of the today's managers. Not only do the permanent white water
particulars have to be effectively dealt with on the organizational level
but the global economic downturn may produce climates and situations
that could never be imagined – this scenario may require differing
organizational postures regarding how the organizational leaders manage
uncertainty from differing sources.
The Webster's New Universal Unabridged
Dictionary defines turbulence as a "condition of being
turbulent." There are two entries for the word turbulent: "full of
commotion or disturbance" and "marked by widely irregular motion." Alfie
Morgan (2001) in Strategic Leadership says that "turbulence is a set of
conditions or the state of a world characterized by commotion, disturbance,
agitation, disorder, and widely irregular motion." A review of these six
traits reveals a common theme: turbulence equals an environment of
instability and uncertainty. It is during moments of crisis that the genuine
authentic traits of effective leadership are
revealed and in the same regard, bad leadership is exposed.
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