Oct' 20

The IUP Journal of Applied Economics

Focus

In the second paper, "Neurofinance and the Efficient Market Hypothesis", the author, Kavous Ardalan, emphasizes the implication of neurofinance with respect to efficient market hypothesis. The author also discusses the role of noise traders in making financial markets inefficient. The author highlights two aspects of neurofinance, namely, thinking imposes strain on the mind, and making judgment involves emotions, in the study. It is shown that these two aspects chiefly contribute to noise trading, thereby making the market informationally inefficient.

In the third paper, "A Business-Cycle Model with a Modified Cash-in-Advance Feature and Government Sector: The Case of Bulgaria (1999-2018)", the author, Aleksandar Vasilev attempts to investigate the quantitative effect of money on business cycle fluctuations in aggregate variables in Bulgaria, using standard real business cycle model for the period 1999-2018. The author opines that the modified cash-in-advance constraint produces a mechanism that allows the framework to reproduce better observed variability and correlations among model variables and those characterizing the labor market in particular.

In the fourth paper, "The Impact of Directors' Report Narratives on Stock Returns", the author, Richa Gupta, makes an attempt to assess the impact of directors' report on the stock returns of selected firms, using panel fixed and random effect model and panel vector autoregression for the period 2013-14 to 2017-18. The author also attempts to study the impact of informational contents on stock price and discusses whether informational dynamics exist between content analysis parameters and stock returns. The results of the study indicate a unidirectional causality from optimism and certainty to stock returns and reverse unidirectional causality from stock returns to commonality. The study further reveals that commonality and certainty negatively impact stock returns. The study highlights that the stakeholders of the companies need to follow the directors' report in addition to financial statements.

The current issue also features an interview with Prof. S Mahendra Dev, Director and Vice-Chancellor, Indira Gandhi Institute of Development Research, Mumbai, an eminent economist and policy maker. The candid expression of his thoughts on the research trends across the globe will certainly inspire the research community at large.

- T Koti Reddy
Consulting Editor

Article   Price (₹)
Causal Relationship Between Changes in Indian Financial Structure and Economic Growth
100
Neurofinance and the Efficient Market Hypothesis
100
A Business-Cycle Model with a Modified Cash-in-Advance Feature and Government Sector: The Case of Bulgaria (1999-2018)
100
The Impact of Directors' Report Narratives on Stock Returns
100
An Interview With professor S mahendra dev
100
Contents : (Oct'20)

Causal Relationship Between Changes in Indian Financial Structure and Economic Growth
Gautam Negi

Empirical studies show that as economies progress, the structure of the financial system also changes. The aim of this study, covering the period 1991 to 2019, in the context of India, is to analyze the structural changes in the financial system and its relationship with economic growth. Real Gross Domestic Product (GDP) at factor cost is taken as the proxy for economic growth. Credit extended by banks is taken as a variable for bank-based financial development. For market-based financial development, four variables are considered, namely, Bombay Stock Exchange (BSE) market cap, BSE equity turnover, Assets Under Management (AUM) of mutual funds and funds mobilized through Initial Public Offers (IPO). In addition, four control variables are considered: government expenditure, exports, call rate and World GDP (WGDP) growth rate. Six Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) models are estimated for capturing the short- and long-run relationships. The findings of the study reveal both short- and long-run association of economic growth with market capitalization, government expenditure, call rate and world growth rate. Bank credit has a long-run causal relationship with economic growth. The findings highlight the role of bank credit and of financial development in the long-run economic growth.


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Article Price : ? 100

Neurofinance and the Efficient Market Hypothesis
Kavous Ardalan

The purpose of this paper is to emphasize the implication of neurofinance with respect to the efficient market hypothesis. To this end, the paper first brings to the fore two aspects of neurofinance, namely, thinking imposes strain on the mind, and making judgment involves emotions, as a result of which some individuals introduce noise to financial markets. The paper then discusses the role of noise traders in making financial markets inefficient.


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Article Price : ? 100

A Business-Cycle Model with a Modified Cash-in-Advance Feature and Government Sector: The Case of Bulgaria (1999-2018)
Aleksandar Vasilev

We augment an otherwise standard business cycle model with a richer government sector, and add a modified Cash-in-Advance (CIA) considerations. In particular, the CIA constraint of Cole (2020) is extended to include private investment and government consumption, and allows a proportion of total expenditure to be done using credit. This specification is then calibrated to Bulgarian data after the introduction of the currency board (1999-2018), which gives a role to money in accentuating economic fluctuations. In particular, the modified CIA constraint produces a mechanism that allows the framework to reproduce better observed variability and correlations among model variables and those characterizing the labor market in particular.


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Article Price : ? 100

The Impact of Directors' Report Narratives on Stock Returns
Richa Gupta

The study aims to assess the impact of directors' report on the stock returns of selected firms. The sample considered for the study includes Nifty 50 companies, excluding 12 banking and financial firms for five years, i.e., from 2013-14 to 2017-18. Five parameters from the directors' report, i.e., Activity (AC), Optimism (OP), Certainty (CE), Realism (RE) and Commonality (CO), are considered as independent variables, whereas stock return is considered as the dependent variable. Beta, market capitalization and debt-equity ratio are control variables. The study applies panel fixed and random effects model and Panel Vector Auto-Regression (PVAR) to examine the impact of directors' report on stock returns. The study observes unidirectional causality from OP and CE to stock returns. Reverse unidirectional causality is observed from stock returns to CO. The study further reveals that CO and CE negatively impact stock returns. The implications of the study for the stakeholders of the companies are: first, they need to follow the directors' report in addition to financial statements and second, the kind of information which is important for them is related to CO and CE features of the report. The study contributes to the existing literature by using content analysis on directors' report and its impact on stock price. It also analyzes the informational dynamics between the content analysis parameters and stock returns.


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Article Price : ? 100

An Interview With professor S mahendra dev
GRK Murty

Born in an agricultural family in Tummapudi village of Guntur district, Andhra Pradesh, Dr Mahendra Dev had his elementary schooling in his native village and later went to a Zilla Parishad School of a nearby village by walking about 6 km every day. His father, Sri Sanjeev Dev, an aesthetic person, was a multifaceted genius, known for his extensive writings on fine arts, philosophy, psychology, etc., both in Telugu and English. Eminent personalities from different walks of life used to visit his home engendering animated discussions on various social issues, besides literature. These discussions had not only created awareness in young Dev about various socio-politico-economic issues that haunted the country but also kindled passion in his mind for studying social sciences.


© 2019 IUP. All Rights Reserved.

Article Price : ? 100