Jan' 19

The IUP Journal of Applied Economics

Focus

This issue consists of three research papers. In the first paper, �Industry Rates of Return in Korea and Alternative Theories of Competition: Equalizing Convergence Versus Tendential Equalization�, the author, Ivan D Trofimov, has studied the convergence and gravitation tendencies of profit rates at the industry level in South Korea using average rate of profit (return on the total capital stock) and Incremental Rate of Profit (IROP) (return on regulating capital) for the period 1970-2015. The study reveals that against the background of a falling economy-wide rate of profit, the profit rate differentials (calculated based on average rate of profit) do not attenuate and no reduction in differential is observed. The study also reveals that the relative average rate of profit (as a proxy for profit rate differential) does not exhibit mean reversion in the majority of cases. The author opines that the study of profit rate convergence will thus necessarily become subordinate to the analysis of investment decisions and the effects and outcomes of such decisions made by business conglomerates and the government, which orchestrate and coordinate investment processes.

In the second paper, �An Empirical Investigation of the Inter-Linkages Between Different Indices of Multi Commodity Exchange of India �, the authors, Rakesh Shahani, Udhav Sarin and Madhav Malhotra, have examined the inter-relationship between the movement of the independent indices of the Multi Commodity Exchange of India (MCX), viz., MCX Agri, MCX Metal and MCX Energy, using Johansen cointegration test, VAR with optimal lag length criteria and Toda and Yamamoto causality test for the period June 2006-March 2017. The results suggest that the variables were not cointegrated, except MCX Agri impacting MCX Metal, and no other relation was shown by the VAR results. The findings reveal that with respect to causality, there is an indication of causal effect relation flowing from MCX Agri to MCX Metal as per the results of Toda and Yamamoto causality test. The authors opine that the results of the present study do not appear to match with the results of other similar studies pertaining mainly to developed economies because this study could not find any correlation between the movement of energy and the movement of agri indices, whereas in most other studies, movement of agri (if not metals) is highly dependent on the movement of energy (more specifically oil which is the main constituent of energy).

In the third paper, �Economic Performance Indicators Under Different Monetary Policy Frameworks: Evidence from India�, the authors, Madhvi Sethi, Saina Baby and Vandita Dar, have compared the effectiveness of monetary policy under various monetary policy frameworks by analyzing the trends in output gap and inflation using monthly data on Index of Industrial Production (IIP) growth rate and Wholesale Price Index (WPI) for the period April 1982 to March 2017. The study finds that the multiple-indicator and the inflation-targeting regimes have had most success in balancing the twin objectives of growth and inflation. The study reveals that India has also witnessed relative price stability and lower output volatility as a response to changing monetary policy regimes, though this process was initiated later in India, post the economic liberalization in the 1990s. The authors opine that by identifying the channel which has more impact on the performance indicators, appropriate policies can be taken to strengthen those channels which are more effective in achieving the twin objectives of monetary policy in India.

- T Koti Reddy
Consulting Editor

Article   Price (₹)
Industry Rates of Return in Korea and Alternative Theories of Competition: Equalizing Convergence Versus Tendential Equalization
50
An Empirical Investigation of the Inter-Linkages Between Different Indices of Multi Commodity Exchange of India
50
Economic Performance Indicators Under Different Monetary Policy Frameworks: Evidence from India
50
Contents : (Jan'19)

Industry Rates of Return in Korea and Alternative Theories of Competition: Equalizing Convergence Versus Tendential Equalization
Ivan D Trofimov

This paper considers convergence and equalization in industry profit rates in the Republic of Korea during the period 1970-2015, from the perspective of alternative paradigms of competition�classical and neoclassical. Two measures of profitability� average rate of profit based on the total capital stock in the economy, and Incremental Rate of Profit (IROP) based on the concept of regulating capital�are estimated. It is shown that little convergence in industry rates of profit occurs when the former measure is used, while almost complete equalization of IROP is achieved. The classical-type equalization takes place in particular capital accumulation and competitive settings in Korea, characterized by the prominent role of diversified conglomerate firms, the capital flows within conglomerates, investment coordination by the state, and the fast pace of capital accumulation and renewal.


© 2018 IUP. All Rights Reserved.

Article Price : ? 100

An Empirical Investigation of the Inter-Linkages Between Different Indices of Multi Commodity Exchange of India
Rakesh Shahani, Udhav Sarin and Madhav Malhotra

The present study makes an attempt to examine the inter-relationship between the movement of the independent indices of the Multi Commodity Exchange of India (MCX), viz., MCX Agri, MCX Metal and MCX Energy. To study the above relation, the monthly returns for these indices were considered for the period June 2006- March 2017. Econometric tools like Augmented Dickey-Fuller (ADF) and Kwiatkowski- Phillips-Schmidt-Shin (KPSS) test of stationarity, Johansen cointegration test, VAR with optimal lag length criteria and Toda and Yamamoto (1995) causality test were used for the purpose of the study. All the variables were found to be stochastic stationary at first difference as revealed by ADF and KPSS tests results. The VAR model was found to be stable as per AR characteristic roots. The results of the study reveal that none of the variables were cointegrated, except MCX Agri which was impacting MCX Metal. However, Toda and Yamamoto (1995) causality test results show unidirectional causality from MCX Agri to MCX Metal.


© 2018 IUP. All Rights Reserved.

Article Price : ? 100

Economic Performance Indicators Under Different Monetary Policy Frameworks: Evidence from India
Madhvi Sethi, Saina Baby and Vandita Dar

Monetary policy has been formulated with the purpose of achieving the twin objectives of economic growth and price stability through the successful working of the transmission mechanism. Monetary policy-induced changes in the nominal variables are expected to impact the real economic indicators like GDP and inflation. The evolution of Reserve Bank of India�s (RBI) monetary policy has been divided into four distinct frameworks: pre-monetary targeting, monetary targeting, multiple indicator approach and eventually an inflation-targeting framework since 2015. RBI�s monetary policy strategies have undergone substantial transformation in the last 70 years. The success of each monetary policy framework can be assessed by comparing the impact of monetary policy changes on various economic performance indicators. The purpose of this paper is to compare the performance of economic indicators under different monetary policy frameworks in the postindependence period. The economic performance indicators used in the study are inflation and output gap. Analyzing the monthly data from April 1982 to March 2017, the study finds that the multiple-indicator and the inflation-targeting regimes have had most success in balancing the twin objectives of growth and inflation.


© 2018 IUP. All Rights Reserved.

Article Price : ? 100