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The IUP Journal of Financial Economics


June' 06
Articles

Indian Sensitive Index (Sensex) and Assets Pricing Literature in Financial Economics

-- A Peer Mohamed

Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM) relies heavily on the stock market index as it is practically impossible to collect the entire data from the complex stock market. Though beta value is derived by applying such indices, empirical findings and conclusions vary from one finding to another. This paper briefly presents such findings under four broad headings. The first one gives a concise view of early development of CAPM when beta is consideredbefore 1980sthe messiah to pricing of an asset. In the 1980s and 1990s, some researchers concluded that many other variables also influence the asset pricing model and declared beta dead. The second heading presents the anomalies or puzzles in CAPM. After the 1990s, some researchers asserted that asset pricing is primarily based on behavioral attitude of investors. This is dealt with under the third heading CAPM, the sui generis. The collaged Indian empirical findings on CAPM are presented under the last part.

Discount Rates in Emerging Capital Markets

-- Samuel Mongrut Montalván
and Dídac Ramírez Sarrió

The estimation of the discount rate for an investment project in conditions of risk relies upon two crucial assumptions: market completeness and well-diversified investors. Although, these two assumptions are tenable in developed capital markets, they are not suitable in emerging markets. In emerging markets, there are not enough twin securities to obtain a unique stochastic discount factor and therefore one project market value. Hence, investors usually face short selling and borrowing restrictions. Furthermore, these markets are plagued with non-diversified entrepreneurs that invest all their capital to undertake entrepreneurial adventures. In this research, one derives expressions for the project discount rate, using the fundamental pricing equation under incomplete capital markets in two extreme situations: when investors hold a well-diversified portfolio, and when they are not diversified at all. Although both situations may apply in developed and emerging capital markets, they apply especially to emerging markets. In fact, well-diversified investors, such as foreign mutual funds, increasingly invest in emerging markets, while the bulk of firms involves either small or medium enterprises owned by a single or a group of non-diversified entrepreneurs. The study concludes that although the Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM) cannot hold under incomplete markets, it is still a good approximation for well-diversified investors in emerging markets. At the same time, it is necessary to use a hurdle rate, based on the project total risk for the case of non-diversified entrepreneurs.

Bank Concentration and Financial Development: The Cross-country Evidence

-- Siong Hook Law and
Ahmad Zainuddin Abdullah

Concentration on banking industry may have long-lasting implication on financial market development. Some argue that concentration in the credit market introduces inefficiencies that would harm a firm's access to credit, thus hindering growth. On the other hand, some recent studies point out that some degree of monopoly power in banking is natural and beneficial. This study examines the effect of bank concentration on financial development, using a cross-country analysis on 68 economies during the period 1990-2001. The empirical results indicate that bank concentration is not a statistically significant determinant of financial development. Among the determinants of financial development, real income and institutional quality are the most prominent ones. The results suggest that concentration in the banking industry is positively associated with financial development in the lower middle-income and low-income countries. However, no such association is reported for upper-middle income countries. Therefore, the effect of bank concentration on financial development is subject to the level of economic development.

Current Account Dynamics and Capital Mobility in Small Asian Economies

-- Sheikh Tareq Selim

This paper explores the current account dynamics in eight small economies of Asia to examine whether or not capital flows have been excessive in these countries. Standard assumptions of perfect capital mobility and small open economies are jointly instrumental in simplifying theoretical tractability of many open economy models. In empirical estimations, however, the identification of a small open economy is often oversimplified, which makes celebrated results, such as excessive or too low capital flows in OECD economies, questionable. This paper establishes that the actual extent of capital mobility in small open economies generally cannot be too high or too low. This, in turn, implies that the general idea of excessive capital flows in small open economies requires revision.

 
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Automated Teller Machines (ATMs): The Changing Face of Banking in India

Bank Management
Information and communication technology has changed the way in which banks provide services to its customers. These days the customers are able to perform their routine banking transactions without even entering the bank premises. ATM is one such development in recent years, which provides remote banking services all over the world, including India. This paper analyzes the development of this self-service banking in India based on the secondary data.

The Information and Communication Technology (ICT) is playing a very important role in the progress and advancement in almost all walks of life. The deregulated environment has provided an opportunity to restructure the means and methods of delivery of services in many areas, including the banking sector. The ICT has been a focused issue in the past two decades in Indian banking. In fact, ICTs are enabling the banks to change the way in which they are functioning. Improved customer service has become very important for the very survival and growth of banking sector in the reforms era. The technological advancements, deregulations, and intense competition due to the entry of private sector and foreign banks have altered the face of banking from one of mere intermediation to one of provider of quick, efficient and customer-friendly services. With the introduction and adoption of ICT in the banking sector, the customers are fast moving away from the traditional branch banking system to the convenient and comfort of virtual banking. The most important virtual banking services are phone banking, mobile banking, Internet banking and ATM banking. These electronic channels have enhanced the delivery of banking services accurately and efficiently to the customers. The ATMs are an important part of a bank’s alternative channel to reach the customers, to showcase products and services and to create brand awareness. This is reflected in the increase in the number of ATMs all over the world. ATM is one of the most widely used remote banking services all over the world, including India. This paper analyzes the growth of ATMs of different bank groups in India.
International Scenario

If ATMs are largely available over geographically dispersed areas, the benefit from using an ATM will increase as customers will be able to access their bank accounts from any geographic location. This would imply that the value of an ATM network increases with the number of available ATM locations, and the value of a bank network to a customer will be determined in part by the final network size of the banking system. The statistical information on the growth of branches and ATM network in select countries.

Indian Scenario

The financial services industry in India has witnessed a phenomenal growth, diversification and specialization since the initiation of financial sector reforms in 1991. Greater customer orientation is the only way to retain customer loyalty and withstand competition in the liberalized world. In a market-driven strategy of development, customer preference is of paramount importance in any economy. Gone are the days when customers used to come to the doorsteps of banks. Now the banks are required to chase the customers; only those banks which are customercentric and extremely focused on the needs of their clients can succeed in their business today.

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